Too Many Smart Engineers, Too Few Big Problems Left - Decades of optimization have left many core products (like Facebook Home Feed) nearly maxed out, making impactful changes rare and promotions harder to earn.
Engineers Flee Mature Teams in Search of Scope - Engineers often transfer to newer initiatives (e.g., Meta’s Portal) to find unclaimed problems they can own—especially critical in systems with forced promotion deadlines.
Forced Promotion Policies Increase Pressure - At Meta for instance, engineers must be promoted from mid-level (E4) to senior (E5) within five years or face termination, driving a scramble for high-impact work. This is awkward when there's a profound lack of scope.
Promotion Bottlenecks Are Common - Transitions like Amazon SD2 → SD3 or Google L4 → L5 are notorious for being highly competitive, political, and frustrating due to overlapping ambitions.
Scarcity of Senior/Staff-Level Scope - Teams without senior-level problems to solve—or ones where existing staff already own them—make it nearly impossible for newer engineers to grow beyond a certain level.